The National Commission for the Study of the El Nino Phenomenon (ENFEN) reported on August 29, 2026, that there is a probability of 62% or higher for the El Nino event to reach an extraordinary magnitude from September 2026 to January 2027. ^[1] José Perdomo, president and CEO of CropLife Latinoamérica, warned during a visit to Ecuador that the worst impacts of El Niño could concentrate between October and December and extend until March 2027. ^[2] Fabián Ruggeri, president of ACOBI, stated on 2026-06-25 that the agricultural sector has been predicting an intense El Niño phenomenon for more than eight months. ^[3] The commission predicts thermal anomalies in sea surface temperatures greater than 3.5 °C will occur from September 2026 until the beginning of autumn 2027. ^[4] The El Nino event is expected to cause rainfall deficits in the southern highlands, the Altiplano, and parts of the Amazon region. ^[5] The most intense rainfall impacts are expected during the summer season, specifically affecting the northern coast and northwestern highlands of Peru. ^[6] CropLife Latinoamérica considers it necessary to strengthen logistical routes, ensure port efficiency, avoid export restrictions, and facilitate credit access to prevent a climate problem from becoming a supply crisis. ^[7] Crops such as cocoa, coffee, and sugarcane are particularly sensitive to climate variations, where small changes in temperature or humidity can lead to significant losses. ^[8] Ruggeri stated that the wine industry has maintained the same received price for 41 consecutive months, creating a difficult economic situation. ^[9] Ruggeri warned that the El Niño phenomenon could cause excess humidity, frost, and severe storms that would negatively impact wine production. ^[10] The cooperative utilizes a proprietary weather forecasting service updated daily that provides scenarios with up to ten days of advance notice. ^[11]