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    "headline": "Colombia Hydrocarbon Study Projects COP 695 Trillion Fiscal Revenue by 2025",
    "dek": "A new study projects Colombia's hydrocarbon sector could generate up to COP 695 trillion in fiscal revenue between 2025 and 2025 under a high-supply scenario.",
    "prose": "The Centro Regional de Estudios de Energía (CREE) and RGL Consultor EU presented a study titled 'Futuro de los hidrocarburos en Colombia: una mirada cuantitativa' to the Comité Intergremial de Petróleo y Gas. [^1]\n\nThe study projects that in the high-supply scenario, fiscal contributions from royalties, income tax, and Ecopetrol dividends could reach COP 695 trillion between 2025 and 2025. [^2]\n\nA study by the Centro Regional de Estudios de Energía (CREE) and RGL Consultor EU projects that without reactivating domestic production, Colombia could import 65% of its gas demand by 2035 and 98% by 2045. [^3]\n\nThe analysis indicates that current proven reserves become marginal toward the year 2035, with a production gap potentially reaching 915,000 barrels per day of oil and 2.834 million cubic feet per day of gas by 2040. [^4]\n\nThe study warns that if a loss of self-sufficiency scenario is adopted, gas imports could reach 65% of supply by 2035 and up to 98% by 2045. [^5]\n\nBetween 2015 and July 2026, Colombia's oil extraction decreased from 1,006,000 to 731,000 barrels per day, representing a 27.3% reduction. [^6]\n\nThe study identifies a critical decision window between 2029 and 2032, noting that current proven reserves would become marginal by 2035 without new discoveries or projects. [^7]\n\nUnder a loss of self-sufficiency scenario, the study estimates that fiscal contributions from hydrocarbons between 2025 and 2050 could reach only $207 trillion in present value, compared to $695 trillion in a high-offer scenario. [^8]",
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