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  "published_at": "2026-09-05T07:07:01.000Z",
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    "headline": "Bitcoin, Ethereum Rise to Multi-Month Highs, Traders See Low Odds of Record in 2026",
    "dek": "Bitcoin and Ethereum hit multi-month highs on 2025-09-04, but Polymarket traders give low odds for reaching record levels in 2026.",
    "prose": "On 2025-09-04, Bitcoin rose 4.62% to $80,861 and Ethereum gained 4.85% to $2,501, reaching multi-month highs, according to BeInCrypto Markets data. [^1]\n\nADP reported on 2025-09-04 that US private employers added 38,000 jobs in August 2025, falling short of expectations of about 47,000 and marking the weakest increase since January 2025. [^2]\n\nFederal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said on 2025-09-04 that he could support holding rates steady. [^3]\n\nPolymarket traders on 2025-09-04 gave Bitcoin a 32% chance of touching $100,000 in 2026 and Ethereum a 31% chance of reaching $3,500 in 2026. [^4]\n\nEthereum is trading above its 7-day, 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day simple moving averages, with the EMA 12 at $2,423 above the EMA 26 at $2,306, and RSI at 62.53, indicating a bullish trend with a pause. [^5]\n\nRetail traders are 72.3% long, while the top trader cohort is only 60% long, a 12 percentage point divergence that suggests a crowded retail long and potential shakeout. [^6]\n\nThe bear case has a 35% probability, targeting a shakeout to $2,362 before recovery, with support at $2,408 and $2,362. [^7]\n\nThe taker buy/sell ratio is 1.17 with $912 million in Binance spot volume, and open interest climbed 4.81% in the last 24 hours while price fell, with funding rate at 0.0020%, indicating dip absorption and positioning. [^8]",
    "cited": "[{\"statement\":\"On 2025-09-04, Bitcoin rose 4.62% to $80,861 and Ethereum gained 4.85% to $2,501, reaching multi-month highs, according to BeInCrypto Markets data.\",\"source\":\"beincrypto.com\",\"instrument\":\"News\",\"claim_key\":null,\"published_at\":\"2026-09-04T05:28:12.000Z\",\"publisher_count\":1,\"sources\":[\"beincrypto.com\"]},{\"statement\":\"ADP reported on 2025-09-04 that US private employers added 38,000 jobs in August 2025, falling short of expectations of about 47,000 and marking the weakest increase since January 2025.\",\"source\":\"beincrypto.com\",\"instrument\":\"News\",\"claim_key\":null,\"published_at\":\"2026-09-04T05:28:12.000Z\",\"publisher_count\":1,\"sources\":[\"beincrypto.com\"]},{\"statement\":\"Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said on 2025-09-04 that he could support holding rates steady.\",\"source\":\"beincrypto.com\",\"instrument\":\"News\",\"claim_key\":null,\"published_at\":\"2026-09-04T05:28:12.000Z\",\"publisher_count\":1,\"sources\":[\"beincrypto.com\"]},{\"statement\":\"Polymarket traders on 2025-09-04 gave Bitcoin a 32% chance of touching $100,000 in 2026 and Ethereum a 31% chance of reaching $3,500 in 2026.\",\"source\":\"beincrypto.com\",\"instrument\":\"News\",\"claim_key\":null,\"published_at\":\"2026-09-04T05:28:12.000Z\",\"publisher_count\":1,\"sources\":[\"beincrypto.com\"]},{\"statement\":\"Ethereum is trading above its 7-day, 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day simple moving averages, with the EMA 12 at $2,423 above the EMA 26 at $2,306, and RSI at 62.53, indicating a bullish trend with a pause.\",\"source\":\"Blockchain.News\",\"instrument\":\"News\",\"claim_key\":null,\"published_at\":\"2026-09-05T07:07:01.000Z\",\"publisher_count\":1,\"sources\":[\"Blockchain.News\"]},{\"statement\":\"Retail traders are 72.3% long, while the top trader cohort is only 60% long, a 12 percentage point divergence that suggests a crowded retail long and potential shakeout.\",\"source\":\"Blockchain.News\",\"instrument\":\"News\",\"claim_key\":null,\"published_at\":\"2026-09-05T07:07:01.000Z\",\"publisher_count\":1,\"sources\":[\"Blockchain.News\"]},{\"statement\":\"The bear case has a 35% probability, targeting a shakeout to $2,362 before recovery, with support at $2,408 and $2,362.\",\"source\":\"Blockchain.News\",\"instrument\":\"News\",\"claim_key\":null,\"published_at\":\"2026-09-05T07:07:01.000Z\",\"publisher_count\":1,\"sources\":[\"Blockchain.News\"]},{\"statement\":\"The taker buy/sell ratio is 1.17 with $912 million in Binance spot volume, and open interest climbed 4.81% in the last 24 hours while price fell, with funding rate at 0.0020%, indicating dip absorption and positioning.\",\"source\":\"Blockchain.News\",\"instrument\":\"News\",\"claim_key\":null,\"published_at\":\"2026-09-05T07:07:01.000Z\",\"publisher_count\":1,\"sources\":[\"Blockchain.News\"]}]",
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    {
      "statement": "On 2025-09-04, Bitcoin rose 4.62% to $80,861 and Ethereum gained 4.85% to $2,501, reaching multi-month highs, according to BeInCrypto Markets data.",
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      "statement": "Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said on 2025-09-04 that he could support holding rates steady.",
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      "statement": "Polymarket traders on 2025-09-04 gave Bitcoin a 32% chance of touching $100,000 in 2026 and Ethereum a 31% chance of reaching $3,500 in 2026.",
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      "statement": "Ethereum is trading above its 7-day, 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day simple moving averages, with the EMA 12 at $2,423 above the EMA 26 at $2,306, and RSI at 62.53, indicating a bullish trend with a pause.",
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      "statement": "Retail traders are 72.3% long, while the top trader cohort is only 60% long, a 12 percentage point divergence that suggests a crowded retail long and potential shakeout.",
      "source": "Blockchain.News",
      "instrument": "News",
      "claim_key": null,
      "published_at": "2026-09-05T07:07:01.000Z",
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    {
      "statement": "The bear case has a 35% probability, targeting a shakeout to $2,362 before recovery, with support at $2,408 and $2,362.",
      "source": "Blockchain.News",
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      "statement": "The taker buy/sell ratio is 1.17 with $912 million in Binance spot volume, and open interest climbed 4.81% in the last 24 hours while price fell, with funding rate at 0.0020%, indicating dip absorption and positioning.",
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